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Egyptian political confrontation prompts questions over who's running things

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President Mohamed Morsi has stirred up questions with his decision to call Parliament back into session in Egypt. (Photo by Jonathan Rashad via Wikimedia Commons.)

In Egypt, the government is in the midst of a long process to transform itself from a dictatorship to a representative democracy. But the process has been tumultuous, with the latest hurdle being a decision by the new president to call back into session a parliament that the military-backed courts dissolved.

Egypt's political transition is hitting a turbulent and perilous stage.

Sunday, newly elected President Mohamed Morsi ordered the elected Parliament to return to the capital — in direct defiance of a court order dissolving the democratically-elected body. He said they would serve only until a new constitution is written and approved. Elections are to be held within 60 days of that happening.

But ever since Morsi's announcement, the country has held its breath while waiting to see how the country's military council would react. So far, they haven't. But the country's Supreme Constitutional Court weighed in on Monday. They refused to reconsider their ruling and said the decision was final and unappealable.

That has some speculating the country is angling toward a constitutional crisis. 

"The development seemed to deepen the prospects for a confrontation between Mr. Morsi and his Islamist supporters on the one hand, and the military council and the courts on the other," The New York Times wrote.

According to the BBC, the Speaker of the House announced that the legislative body would reconvene on Tuesday. Already some members of Parliament had made their way back and have been allowed into the building.

A number of the army guards that had been posted at the building had returned to their barracks and others said they wouldn't stop the Parliament from convening, the Times reported.

Egypt's Court Rejects Reopening of Parliament
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But according to the BBC, even if members of Parliament do convene, any legislation they pass would face a high likelihood of being deemed invalid by the courts.

And opponents of Morsi, a member of the Islamic Brotherhood like the majority in Parliament, criticized him for setting a dangerous precedent, whereby the president presents himself as above the controls imposed by the courts.

"Presidential candidate Hamdin Sabbahi was quoted as saying it was a 'waste of legal authority' while another, Abdul Moneim Aboul Fotouh, was said to have denounced his move as unconstitutional," the BBC reported. "Liberal MP Mohammed Abu Hamed urged Scaf to challenge what he called 'this constitutional coup.' "

All this has left many wondering just who is really wielding power in the country and when — and if — the country will really complete it's democratic transition.

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Found in:   democratization   elections   government   Middle East   Egypt
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Lizette 28 July, 2012 02:19:32
MB should fully enjoy its victroy but coming days are not going to be easy. Military is still the most powerful force in the country and it will remains so for years to come. To deal with such strong military, Morsi/MB now have two choices based on the experience of two other Muslim countries which found themselves in somewhat similar circumstances. Pakistan People Party (led by Benazir Bhutto) and AKP (led by Erdogan) won popular elections in 1988 and 2002 respectively but faced a deeply entrenched powerful military, unwilling to allow the new government to work independently. Even before they became Prime Ministers, Bhutto and Erdogan had to give assurances that they will play by the rules i.e. accept military's ascendency and pre-eminance in the affairs of state. Reports of recent talks between the SCAF and MB show that such negotiations might also be happening in Egypt and orders of shoot-to-kill (which you referred in your previous post) might have been given to drop a hint to the MB negotiators that the military is ready for bloodshed, if assurances are not given. Fortunately, it appears MB has satisfied the military as Pakistani and Turkish militaries were also satisfied by the PMs Bhutto and Erdogan respectively. What happened next in Pakistan and Turkey is a lesson for MB and Morsi. In Pakistan, Bhutto did some good things to open Pakistani society and better the lot of women but her government was mostly associated with incompetence and corruption. This emboldened the military, raised its stature in masses and Bhutto's government was thrown out of office in twenty months. For the next eight years, military assisted in removal of two more prime ministers, before a martial law was imposed in 1999 to end the decade-old democratic experiment. In contrast, Erdogan's government performed remarkably well. It managed to improve most of the socio-economic indicators of the country and won praise from Turkish and international pundits for its dedication to the welfare of masses. This performance resulted in two more comprehensive electoral wins in the next nine years. With such popular support behind him, Erdogan gradually challenged the military prerogatives and now Turkey works more like an advanced democracy, with Turkish military almost completely under civilian control.Morsi and MB are well-advised to follow Erdogan's footsteps and avoid Bhutto's mistakes. Interestingly, General Tantawi, Chairman of SCAF, served as military attache in Egyptian embassy, Islamabad in the 1980s.
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